Our Mission
AfriSahel Risk translates geopolitical disruption into adaptive advantage. We go beyond forecasting elections, community tensions, spillover, and regulatory shocks. We identify where systems bend, adapt, or break, and design navigation pathways that expand client freedom of action under pressure.
Our Vision
To transform geopolitical disruption into adaptive advantage, expanding our clients’ freedom of action in complex environments.
Outcomes We Deliver
- Clearer choices
- Preserved timelines
- Widened optionality
Our Guiding Principles
Decision rules—not values
Filters for everything we publish, sell, or refuse.
Pattern First, Event Second
We track recurring system behaviors, not isolated incidents.
Freedom Over Fear
Every insight expands room to maneuver. Anxiety is never monetized.
Humans Drive Outcomes
Perception, dignity, legitimacy, and fatigue determine how systems behave under stress.
Adaptation Capacity Is the Real Risk Indicator
We track adaptation signatures—not just escalation.
Africa-Led, Ground-Truth Anchored
Local social architecture, informal power, and lived constraints are the starting point..
Ethical Clarity
- Preserve client agency
- Avoid incitement
- Remain operationally discreet
Chris Mensah-Ankrah
Lead Analyst
Chris Mensah-Ankrah
Holds a Master of Conflict, Peace and Security from the Kofi Annan International Peacekeeping Training Centre, Ghana.
He is the lead analyst at AfriSahel Risk.
Consults on geopolitical risk issues in West Africa and the Sahel.
Analyst/ Contributor at the James Town Foundation's Terrorism Monitor
Arhin Acheampong
Analyst
Arhin Acheampong
Arhin Acheampong is a Ghanaian international security and development specialist, researcher, and policy analyst involved in African development and security policy discussions.
Pamela Adwoa Carslake
Analyst
Pamela Adwoa Carslake
Pamela Adwoa Carslake has a background in international relations, research, and communications. She has an interest in African development and development economics